Engagement

 

Blogging

The New Statesman- Why fewer of us want a long-term relationship … with a political party

The Washington Post-How did the pollsters get the British elections so very wrong?

The Guardian- Immigration and Euroscepticism: the rising storm

British Election Study-Brexit Britain: British Election Study Insights from the post-EU Referendum wave of the BES internet panel

British Election Study- Are Leave Voters Mainly UKIP?
British Election Study- How we’re (almost) all swingers now
British Election Study- Missing Non-Voters and Misweighted Samples: Understanding the Great British Polling Miss
British Election Study- The Benefits of Random Probability Sampling: The 2015 BES Face-to-Face
British Election Study – Why the polls got it wrong and the British Election Study face-to-face study got it (almost) right
British Election Study – Why did the polls go wrong?
British Election Study – Using the British Election Study to Understand the Great Polling Miss
British Election Study – Coding the ‘single most important issue’
British Election Study – General Election Constituency Forecast Update
British Election Study – British Election Study 2015 General Election Constituency Forecast
British Election Study – The impact of party leader images on vote switching in the run-up to the General Election
British Election Study – All Roads lead to UKIP?
British Election Study –Class divisions and the Scottish Referendum
British Election Study – UKIP: Picking up lumps of old labour support?

LSE- How immigration became a Eurosceptic issue

Media Coverage

Polling, Survey Design and Forecasting

The Guardian – New research suggests why general election polls were so inaccurate

Phys.org- BES reveals longstanding flaw in opinion polls

The Guardian- Why the polls were wrong in 2015? Expert says ‘lazy Labour’ may offer best explanation

Washington Post- What happened with the British election polls?

Independent- Election results: Just how did the exit poll manage to get it so right?

The Guardian- Liberal Democrats facing even bigger wipeout than expected

Bloomberg Business News- SurveyMonkey Fills the Gap as Traditional Political Polls Flounder

Washington Post- World values lost in translation

May 2015- Election 2015: The exit poll is believable – and is right so far.

Huffington Post- How Google Trends Predicted Donald Trump’s Rise, and What it Means for Polling

Swing voters

Independent-Britain a nation of swing voters as age of tribal politics comes to an end

The Guardian- Any party that fails to speak for England can forget about No 10

The Times- Shift toward swing voters

UKIP, Immigration and the EU

The Economist- Brexit Regret

Washington Post- No, Trump won’t win votes from disaffected Democrats in the fall

New York Times- Western Populism May be Entering an Awkward Adolescence

May 2015- Ukippers are likely to have voted Tory in 2010 – but Labour in the 1990s

Vancouver Sun- How immigration issue will help Labour win the May British election. What will it do in Canada?

Independent- Ukip’s middle-class supporters can be Labour’s ‘secret weapon’, report claims

Yorkshire Post- Brexit is a backlash about democracy

Physorg- Study identifies the effect of the party leaders in swaying who we vote for

Straits Times – Populism may just be getting started in the West

Scottish Independence

BBC News – Middle class obscured in a Scots myth

Social Science and the Internet

Christian Science Monitor- Are Americans losing interest in global warming? Hardly.

Consulting

 

BBC exit poll

Worked with BBC election night team every year since 2011 including the 2015 and 2017 exit polls.

World Bank

 

OSCE

 

West Point Academy